AI's total compute-based intelligence would exceed all humans combined in about five years.

Why it is marked pending

Pending. He has restated the timeline on X: “smarter than all humans combined in ~5 years” (July 14, 2025), “not smarter than all humans and computers combined. That’s probably three to five years away” (October 18, 2025), and “AI probably exceeds the sum of all human intelligence in 4 or 5 years” (June 21, 2026).