AI smarter than any one human, probably around the end of 2025.

Why it is marked contested

Unresolved. The deadline has passed, but there is no agreed test for smarter than any one human, so we have not ruled. On July 14, 2025 he posted that AI was “not yet smarter than any human at anything” and “probably smarter than any single human at anything in <2 years.” Corrections with a solid source are welcome.