#07
When will Tesla Full Self-Driving be unsupervised?
Interviews
10
Answers
16
X posts
7
Span
2023 to 2026
First asked Oct 18, 2023, most recently May 18, 2026. Excerpts below are from machine transcripts with filler words (um, uh, you know) and stutters removed; … marks a cut. They are not checked word for word, so use the link to hear the exact words, or the transcript link for the raw text. Timestamps: 0 cross-checked against YouTube captions, 16 from the archive transcript only. X has no link-to-time option, so X links open at the start.
How the answer evolved · oldest first
Oct 18, 2023 · Tesla Q3 2023 Earnings Call · asked by Martin Viecha (IR)
Q: Is Tesla planning to accept legal liability for FSD and if so, when?
Well, there's a lot of people that assume we have legal liability. Judging by the lawsuits, we're certainly not being let that off the hook on that front, whether we like would like to or wouldn't like to. I mean, I think it's important to remember for everyone that Mercedes system is limited to key roads in Nevada and some certain cities in California. Doesn't work in the snow or the fog. It must have a weed car …
Jul 13, 2024 · X Takeover 2024 · asked by John (Tesla Owners Silicon Valley)
Q: It's still the most amazing vehicle Tesla's ever made. But any updates on FSD with Cybertruck?
Well, I think that should be coming out in August. So 12.5 is wait two weeks. Yeah, at some point in the next 2 to 4 ish weeks it should work. I mean I'm sure, I'm not sure the exact timing because we just have to test it and make sure it works well. So. But 12.5 is where a lot of things come together where you've got the high. We upgrade the highway stack to be the latest version. So you don't have the old highway …
Jul 23, 2024 · Tesla Q2 2024 earnings call · asked by Travis Axelrod
Q: Is Tesla still in talks with an OEM to license FSD?
There are a few major OEMs that have expressed interest in licensing Tesla full stop driving and I suspect there will be more over time, but we can't comment on the details of those discussions.
Jul 23, 2024 · Tesla Q2 2024 earnings call · asked by Analyst
Q: Is the robotaxi approach, one that's more geofence, so to speak, and is more driven by a state by state approach?
I mean our solution is a generalized solution like what everybody else has. If you see like Waymo and whatnot, they have a very localized solution that requires high density mapping. It's not, it's quite fragile. So you know, their ability to expand rapidly is limited. Our solution is a general solution that works anywhere. It would even work on a different Earth. So if you rendered a new Earth, it would work on a …
Jul 23, 2024 · Tesla Q2 2024 earnings call · asked by Analyst
Q: And from what we understand, and again, maybe I'm wrong here, but the robotaxi that has been shown, at least in images of the public, is also pedal less and wheel less. Is there a different regulatory concern?
Well, obviously the real reason that they cancel it because GM can't make it work, not because of regulators. They're blaming regulators. That's misleading of them to do so because Waymo is doing just fine in those markets. So it's just that the technology is not far
Oct 23, 2024 · Tesla Q3 2024 earnings call · asked by Travis Axelrod
Q: Does that mean regulators have agreed to it in the entire state for existing hardware 3 and 4 years goals?
No, as we said, as I said earlier, California loves regulation, but they have a pathway. Yeah, I mean there's a pathway, obviously Waymo operates in California, so there's just a lot of forms filled out and a lot of approvals that are required. I mean, I'd be shocked if we don't get approval next year, but it's just not something we totally control. But I think we will get approval next year in California and Texas …
Jan 29, 2025 · Tesla Q4 and full year 2024 earnings call · asked by Travis Axelrod
Q: What hurdles still exist to make that happen?
So yeah, I'm confident that we will release unsupervised FSD in California this year as well, you know. Yeah, in fact I think we will most likely release unsupervised FSD in many regions of the country of the U.S. By the end of this year. Like I said, we're just putting a toe in the water, then few toes, then the foot, then leg, then make sure everything's cool.
Jan 29, 2025 · Tesla Q4 and full year 2024 earnings call · asked by Travis Axelrod
Q: And the last question from sei.com, what technical breakthroughs will define V14 of FSD given that V13 already covered photon to control?
Well, we've got a hell of a, hell of a lot further than photons to output. We've been in sort of the nothing but nets situation. Nothing but neural nets from photons to controls for a while now. We're just improving the neural nets. I guess we could get into some of the technical details to some degree. I have to say I continue to be amazed by just how effective auto aggressive transformers are at solving a wide …
Sep 7, 2025 · All-In Summit · asked by Host
Q: I think then as it, as everybody here in the audience experiences it, is that just an almost like an order of magnitude increase in the quality of FSD and the safety that you experience as a Tesla driver and then the quality of the robot, …
Yeah, to be precise, the 40x is on. If you said like, compared to the worst limitation on AI4 which is running the Softmax operation.
Nov 14, 2025 · Baron Investment Conference · asked by Ron Baron
Q: What AI does, what we do is we, as I understand it, is to make sure that it's just like us. Is that fair?
Yes. The key to achieving full self driving unsupervised, full self driving, much safer than a human, is improving the AI software in the car. We're confident that the AI 4 hardware, that's a chip that we designed, currently made by Samsung, is capable of achieving a safety level unsupervised, meaning if you're asleep in the car, at least two to three times that of the average driver, maybe more. And then with AI5 …
Jan 28, 2026 · Tesla Q4 and full year 2025 earnings call · asked by Travis Axelrod
Q: The next question, similar to the other autonomy questions, but slightly different, when is FSD going to be 100% unsupervised?
Well, it is 100% unsupervised and FSC is 100% unsupervised. I mean, we obviously have cars operating with no one in them and no safety monitor and no follow car or anything like that. In Austin right now for customers, we're being just very cautious with the rollout.
Apr 22, 2026 · Tesla Q1 2026 earnings call · asked by Travis Axelrod
Q: The next question is, when do you expect FSD unsupervised to reach customer cars?
I'm just guessing here, but probably in the fourth quarter. It's difficult to release this, like to everyone, everywhere, all at once because we do want to make sure that they're not unique situations in a city that particularly complex intersection or actually they tend to be places where people get into accidents a lot because they're just perhaps there's an, like I said, an unsafe intersection or bad road …
Apr 22, 2026 · Tesla Q1 2026 earnings call · asked by Travis Axelrod
Q: And the next question is, how will Hardware 3 cars reach unsupervised FSD?
Unfortunately, Hardware 3, I wish it were otherwise, but Hardware 3 simply does not have the capability to achieve unsupervised FSD. We did think at one point it would have that, but relative to hardware 4, it has only one eighth the memory bandwidth of hardware 4. And memory bandwidth is one of the key elements needed for unsupervised fsd. It's just generally a thing that's needed for AI. If you're doing an auto …
Apr 22, 2026 · Tesla Q1 2026 earnings call · asked by Travis Axelrod
Q: The next question is, now that FSD has been approved in the Netherlands and is expected to launch across Europe this summer, can you discuss your Robotaxi strategy for the region?
Well, we're probably jumping gun here on robotaxi in Europe since it took us an immense amount of time just to get supervised self driving approved in Europe. And you know, these, we don't control the regulators it's, we push as hard as we can, but it's ultimately up to the government in Europe and the EU to decide what to do. So yeah, as it is, we've only been approved in the Netherlands. We expect to be approved …
May 18, 2026 · Samson International Smart Mobility Summit (Tel Aviv) · asked by Daniela Galiot
Q: Now that you're moving from testing to actual deployment, what is the biggest challenge in scaling this technology to millions of users around the world?
So in terms of having self driving be ubiquitous, I think we're making steady progress. The Tesla full self driving software, which is really just AI and cameras, we don't use radars or LIDAR or anything like that. It's really trying to drive the car in the same way that a human drives the car, which is human drives the car primarily with vision and with a biological neural net, that we take the same approach with …
May 18, 2026 · Samson International Smart Mobility Summit (Tel Aviv) · asked by Daniela Galiot
Q: I mean, what is the grand vision that still keeps you up at night when we talk about mobility?
Well, at this point, the path to cars driving an order of magnitude safer than humans is very clear. I think it's not really a question mark. So I'm not sure this one keeps me up at night because I see the path is just so obviously there. And I think you say five years from now or certainly 10 years from now. My guess is if say like 10 years from now, probably 90% of all distance driven will be driven by the AI in a …
In his own posts on X
@elonmusk · Nov 23, 2023
@sobieski902 @TashaARK Supervised FSD is vastly safer than human driving. Unsupervised FSD is trending well. Over time, Version 12 (end-to-end neural nets) will far exceed human safety even when unsupervised.
View on X ↗@elonmusk · Jun 10, 2025
These are unmodified Tesla cars coming straight from the factory, meaning that every Tesla coming out of our factories is capable of unsupervised self-driving! https://t.co/n94ln0Uas6
View on X ↗@elonmusk · Jan 8, 2026
@pbeisel Roughly 10 billion miles of training data is needed to achieve safe unsupervised self-driving. Reality has a super long tail of complexity.
View on X ↗@elonmusk · Jan 23, 2026
I should also mention that the $99/month for supervised FSD will rise as FSD’s capabilities improve. The massive value jump is when you can be on your phone or sleeping for the entire ride (unsupervised FSD). https://t.co/YDKhXN3aaG
View on X ↗@elonmusk · Apr 9, 2026
Tesla V14.3 self-driving review. The point releases will bring polish. V15 will far exceed human levels of safety, even in completely unsupervised and complex situations. https://t.co/s4UK9RWw9f
View on X ↗@elonmusk · Apr 15, 2026
@teslaownersSV @TaiwanSemi_TSC @Samsung Optimus and our supercomputer clusters. AI4 is enough to achieve much better than human safety for FSD.
View on X ↗@elonmusk · Oct 12, 2026
@pmddomingos Same thing happened with Tesla FSD. The model ate more and more of the C++ code, until there was nothing left.
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